We think the gold market is lucky to be holding above last week's lows in the early trade today given a fresh higher high in the US dollar and in the face of almost certain rate hikes from the US and Europe later this week.

In retrospect, investors remain cool toward gold and silver, with ETF holdings last week declining by 257,337 ounces in gold and by 6.4 million ounces in silver. Year-to-date both gold and silver ETF holdings are both more than 2% lower!

With the dollar rallying 160 points last week, the Thursday/Friday reversal in August gold of $40 was clearly deserved and likely sets the stage for more declines early this week...[MORE]

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